Mail & Guardian
Mail & Guardian
bureau for economic researchlatest news & developments
South Africa’s economy expanded by a marginal 0.1% in the first quarter of 2025

South Africa’s economy shrinks by 0.3% in the third quarter

Economists incorrectly predicted a slight uptick in GDP

Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana. Photographer: Dwayne Senior/Bloomberg via Getty Images

Tapping into gold and foreign reserve to pay debt servicing costs is risky for South Africa

Economists say the government can expect to incur inflationary and exchange rate costs from the move

Working together, governments, the private sector and regional bodies can solve the infrastructure problems hobbing the growth of the mining sector in Africa. Photo by Emmanuel Croset/AFP

30 YEARS OF DEMOCRACY: SA’s economy neither Gear nor there

Amid directionless policy after 30 years of democracy, the country’s prospects continue to be driven by the whims of miners and their financiers

Blinkered: The big screen industry is still recovering from Covid. Ster-Kinekor went into business rescue in January 2021 until November 2022. Photo: Sourced

Ster-Kinekor suffers blockbuster blues

But the cinema group’s chief executive insists that the show will go on as load-shedding abates

The Reserve Bank has maintained the repo — at which it lends to commercial banks — steady at 8.25% for five consecutive meetings, since hiking it by 50 basis points in May 2023.

SARB will hold off on rate cuts until July, experts predict

Today’s monetary policy committee meeting comes in the wake of a surprise acceleration in South Africa’s annual inflation rate

A general view shows trails of lights from passing vehicles in Braamfontein, Johannesburg, which  is submerged in darkness due to load-shedding

Signs point to SA having avoided a technical recession

According to economists, the country’s fourth-quarter GDP numbers will have been buoyed by a winding down of power outages

Investor confidence is low as citizens and domestic private companies stash their cash abroad to protect it from the volatility of the weakened rand. (Getty)

Rand reels amid rates reckoning, braces for election turmoil

The local currency could be in for more volatility as political push-and-pull raises uncertainty

The South African Reserve Bank is likely to hold interest rates unchanged

Inflation rises towards Reserve Bank’s upper limit, pointing to rate hikes down the line

Despite inflation coming within a hair’s breadth of 6%, there is still reason to believe that the central bank will hold interest rates this week

South Africa’s prime lending rate stands at 11.75%.  Photo: Dean Hutton/Bloomberg/Getty Images

Reserve Bank expected to hold off on hikes

However, inflation will probably remain elevated into next year

South Africa is widely recognised as the most unequal society in the world, with a startling 71% of the country’s wealth concentrated in the hands of a mere 10% elite

Austerity, the NDP’s grim reaper

Ten years after its adoption, the government has failed to achieve the targets set out in the National Development Plan. Looming spending cuts will render the NDP even more futile

South African retail trade sales recorded an eighth consecutive month of year-on-year decline in July, contracting 1.8%. (Dwayne Senior/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Retail sales continue downward trend in July

Retail trade sales decreased for the eighth consecutive month showing that consumers are still cash-strapped

While a higher inflation rate may otherwise inspire increased hawkishness in the South African Reserve Bank’s monetary policy committee — which meets this week — analysts expect that the repo rate will be kept on hold again. (Delwyn Verasamy/M&G)

Reserve Bank expected to look past slight inflation uptick

Inflation accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year in August, up from 4.7% in July, according to data from Statistics South Africa

Savings wake-up call for South Africa

Consumers dipping into trusts amid financial strain

With interest rates at a 14-year high, many South Africans have depleted their emergency savings

Consumer confidence has rebounded from the low recorded in the second quarter, but it remains firmly within depressed territory. Photo: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg/Getty Images

Depressed consumer sentiment lifts slightly

The improvement in confidence was helped by the change in attitude of affluent consumers, who were spooked by severe load-shedding and the Russian cargo ship debacle in the…

South Africa’s economy expanded by a marginal 0.1% in the first quarter of 2025

SA’s economy records better-than-expected growth

A boost to manufacturing and agriculture’s rebound has seen the country’s GDP expand 0.6% quarter-on-quarter

Chinese president, Xi Jinping.

Will SA lose its footing amid China’s great rebalancing act?

To realise sustainable growth, the economic superpower must change tack, and South Africa must be ready to adjust

Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana. (Photo: Mlungisi Louw/Gallo Images)

Public purse sees tail end of mining tailwind

Mining windfall helped SA’s financial position, but lower revenues and additional spending will delay the end of fiscal consolidation

South African Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago. Photo: Getty Images

Another interest rate hike likely but should be the last for a while

The Reserve Bank has already lifted rates 10 times since November 2021

Workers carry out repairs at the Tutuka coal-fired power station in Mpumalanga. File photo: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg

Energy crisis factors into SA credit trends

Financial conditions are tight but demand for credit has remained robust in the face of interest rate hikes

The decision to form a unity government has been broadly welcomed by economists.

Not out of the woods yet, SA’s economy braces for another blow

The country’s economy expanded 0.4% in the first quarter, but analysts warn not to expect growth or recovery anytime soon